UFC Fight Night best bets, picks and parlay for today’s card

UFC Fight Night best bets, picks and parlay for today’s card

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UFC Battle Night time is again Saturday with principal eventers Alexander Volkov vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

The UFC Battle Night time prelims begin at 1 p.m. ET. with the principle card at 4 p.m. ET. Your entire card is on ESPN+.

Fast replace on the file for UFC picks followers

Present file on straight bets: 11-5 with common odds of simply over +213! Backers are profiting 23.0 items since 3/19. We now have solely had two dropping weeks and have had straight weeks within the inexperienced!The parlay is simply 2-5 however remains to be profiting 6.0 items.

All odds had been correct on the time of writing. Good luck!

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UFC Battle Night time finest bets

Alexander Volkov vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik

The large man! Volkov has a possibility after a submission loss to Tom Aspinall. Heavyweight kickboxer Rozenstruik is a fighter with ferocious energy however not a lot else.

Rozenstruik can’t grapple or put collectively volumes of strikes to eke out choices. Volkov is nice at distance administration and averages 4.83 important strikes landed per minute. That is significantly better than Rozenstruik who averages 2.80 important strikes landed, per UFCStats.

Volkov might get flash KO’d, however that’s not price a guess right here. He has solely been knocked out by Derrick Lewis within the UFC and Rozenstriuk has not confirmed to be that stage of a contender.

Search for Volkov to get again on observe right here.

Greatest guess: Volkov wins by determination +200 (Caesars)

Alonzo Menifield vs. Askar Mozharov

Has anybody been following this saga? Askar Mozharov had a 25-11 file just a few days in the past however has had wins taken away and a loss added. As of Friday, Mozharov is 19-12 in his skilled profession.

This has been an issue in preventing for years — fighters padding their information with cupcake opponents abroad. Sherdog even went as far to name this Mozharov a fraud for doing so. The Ukrainian fighter misplaced a combat in TitanFC within the first spherical to Cristian Torres who has a profession 15-12 file. Menifield is a distinct animal.

Mozharov calls himself, “The Ukrainian Conor McGregor” however is being crucified within the MMA media this week. Inexplicably, this line opened at -140/+120, additional displaying that oddsmakers don’t actually know the right way to line MMA when odds first open up.

For the reason that drama with Mozharov’s file and such, Menifield has moved as excessive as -250 and may very well be -350 by combat time. Menifield to win in underneath 2.5 rounds is +104 on PointsBet, which is an incorrect line.

Most different sportsbooks have Menifield in underneath 1.5 rounds at -150. Right here, we get an additional spherical and a greater worth by 11.08% in implied odds. That is the perfect guess on the cardboard by a large margin.

Greatest guess: Menifield wins in underneath 2.5 rounds +104 (PointsBet)

Alonzo MenifieldIcon Sportswire by way of Getty Pictures

UFC Battle Night time parlay +1130: Menifield wins in spherical 1 or 2 (-125) + Volkov/Rozenstruik begins spherical 3 (-235) + Tony Gravely wins by determination (+250) + Blanchfield/Aldrich GTD (-270)

+1130 on in the present day’s UFC Battle Night time parlay is a handsome guess. This was positioned on FanDuel Sportsbook utilizing their UFC parlay insurance coverage promotion. With a max of $25, if one guess loses, you’re going to get the complete guess again in a free guess. A number of notes earlier than we get began:

Tony Gravely is an exceptional wrestler, averaging 6.76 takedowns per quarter-hour. Munhoz is a stable fighter in his personal proper however may very well be too content material to take a seat on his again and hunt for submissions. The worst technique in MMA does nothing however lose minutes and rounds. Erin Blanchfield and JJ Aldrich are the primary combat on the cardboard. Two determination machines, Blanchfield hasn’t had a combat finish inside the gap since 2020 when she was preventing for Invicta. The identical might be stated for Aldrich who has had 5 straight fights finish in a choice and hasn’t had a combat finish inside the gap since 2019.

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