Tulane vs. USC prediction: Cotton Bowl odds, pick

Tulane vs. USC prediction: Cotton Bowl odds, pick

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What a season it’s been for the Tulane Inexperienced Wave. Again in August, Willie Fritz’s staff was a 50/1 longshot to win the AAC and had a season Over/Below of 6 wins. 4 months later, the Inexperienced Wave are the No. 14 staff in faculty soccer and are about to play No. 8 USC within the Cotton Bowl.

And based on the percentages, Tulane just isn’t right here to simply make up the numbers. The Inexperienced Wave are simply 1.5-point underdogs on Monday, that means the betting market views this contest as a digital coin flip.

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USC vs. Tulane (1 p.m. ET, ESPN) prediction: Tulane -6.5 (+230, FanDuel)

It’s additionally been a terrific season for USC, who solely had their Faculty Soccer Playoff aspirations dashed in a loss to Utah within the Pac-12 Championship Sport, however this might be a tricky spot for the Trojans. Not solely will they be disenchanted to not be among the many 4 contenders for the nationwide championship, however they’ll additionally have to make due with out a number of key gamers.

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Quarterback Caleb Williams has stated he intends to play on Monday regardless of a hamstring damage, however the Trojans received’t have the companies of star large receiver Jordan Addison, in addition to offensive lineman Brett Neilon and Andrew Voorhees. These are some key items lacking for the Trojans, who rely closely on Williams’ capability to increase performs together with his legs. With an injured hamstring, a depleted offensive line and one in all his most necessary weapons on the sidelines, that turns into rather a lot more durable.

And that’s earlier than we even get to Tulane’s protection, which has been excellent this season. The Inexperienced Wave ranked inside the highest 25 in yards per play and have been the Eleventh-best staff within the nation in limiting explosive performs by means of the air this season. Tulane’s run protection ranked 68th in success charge, but it surely additionally was thirty first in stopping explosive runs. 

Betting on Faculty Soccer?

Even when Williams is ready to transfer the ball, the Tulane offense ought to have the ability to persist with the Trojans. Quarterback Michael Pratt is a savvy signal-caller and he’s bought a star working again alongside him in Tyjae Spears, who racked up 1,376 yards and 15 touchdowns this season.

General, Tulane ranked twenty second in anticipated factors added per play and twenty third in ending drives in 2022, so the Inexperienced Wave will stack up effectively towards a protection that completed the season outdoors the top-120 in each of these classes. 

Of their present type, there’s little or no between these two groups and there’s an opportunity that Williams, the 2022 Heisman Trophy winner, doesn’t play the entire sport. If that’s the case, it’s price taking a shot on an alternate unfold and backing Tulane in a rout. 

USC vs. Tulane (1 p.m. ET, ESPN) decide: Tulane -6.5 (+230, FanDuel)

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