Sides will share the points

Sides will share the points

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Everton and Brentford will cap off a restricted Premier League slate Sunday, and I imagine the mistaken crew is favored.

Though Everton continues to be within the midst of a relegation battle, Brentford has confirmed the much better aspect of late. Throughout all sides’s final six fixtures, Brentford maintain a +2.8 anticipated purpose differential whereas Everton maintain a -0.3 xGDiff.

Plus, Brentford’s assault has confirmed far superior. Throughout those self same six fixtures, the Bees have generated 1.58 anticipated targets per 90 minutes whereas the Toffees have created only one.06 anticipated targets per 90 minutes.

Brentford’s Pontus Jansson (kneeling) celebrates a purpose along with his teammates in opposition to Southampton on Might 7, 2022.Reuters

That is additionally a Brentford aspect that has confirmed able to successful factors in opposition to bottom-half sides. In its final 5 such fixtures, supervisor Thomas Frank’s aspect is 4-0-1 (W-L-D) and has a +4.6 anticipated purpose differential in these fixtures.

For all of Everton’s “success” of late, its protection has nonetheless struggled to carry, even in opposition to mediocre opposition. In its final 5 fixtures in opposition to bottom-half sides outdoors the relegation zone, supervisor Frank Lampard’s aspect is 1-4-0 (W-L-D) and is conceding 1.44 anticipated targets per 90 minutes.

Lastly, Brentford presents a matchup drawback for Everton. The Bees are first in xG off set items this season whereas Everton are fifth-worst in set piece protection.

The Play: Brentford Draw, No Guess (+145).

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