NFL playoff player prop picks, predictions

NFL playoff player prop picks, predictions

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The primary 5 video games of this NFL wild-card weekend have supplied us with loads of drama and intrigue, and we’ve acquired one in retailer Monday evening between the Buccaneers and Cowboys. 

For all the woes that this Tampa Bay passing offense has confronted this 12 months, the Bucs are rolling on the proper time. The identical can’t be mentioned for Dallas, which is mired in a turnover nightmare heading into the postseason. 

Listed here are our three favourite prop bets to focus on at BetMGM forward of a particular NFL playoffs version of “Monday Night time Soccer” within the wild-card spherical finale: 

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Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay BuccaneersGetty Pictures

Cowboys vs. Buccaneers participant props

Tom Brady over 277.5 passing yards (-110, BetMGM) 

By most accounts, this has been probably the most irritating season of Brady’s profession and his least statistically productive in years. But he’s nonetheless averaging 276.1 yards per recreation, and he threw for a whopping 432 yards in his final full begin — his fourth recreation with at the least 280 yards in his final 5 video games (excluding Week 18). 

This may increasingly seem to be a nasty matchup on paper after the Cowboys allowed the NFL’s eighth-fewest passing yards per recreation (200.9). However they’ve been atrocious in latest weeks in opposition to the likes of Trevor Lawrence (318 yards), Gardner Minshew (355), Joshua Dobbs (232) and Sam Howell (169), who’ve averaged 268.5 passing yards per recreation during the last 4 weeks in opposition to this Dallas protection. 

That has coincided with a rash of accidents to the Cowboys’ secondary, with beginning corners Anthony Brown (Achilles) and Jourdan Lewis (foot) out for the 12 months. Brady is a far superior passer to the competitors Dallas has confronted in latest weeks, and I’d count on him to assault that mismatch relentlessly in a do-or-die spot. 

Dak PrescottGetty Pictures

Dak Prescott over 0.5 interceptions thrown (-165, BetMGM) 

We’ve wager this precise prop on Prescott a number of occasions in latest weeks, and there’s no method we’re staying away from it this week — even when the worth might be somewhat inflated. 

It’s simple to know why with the way in which that Prescott is enjoying. He’s thrown a jaw-dropping 11 interceptions in his final seven video games with at the least one in each contest, together with 4 video games with a number of INTs. He’s additionally coming off a brutal Week 18 by which he accomplished a career-worst 37.8 p.c of his passes — and, sure, threw a pick-six that successfully killed the sport for Dallas. 

Tampa Bay’s protection hasn’t been probably the most opportunistic this 12 months, but it surely’s picked off at the least one go in three of the final 4 weeks. Towards the NFL’s chief in interceptions (15), the Bucs ought to have the ability to bait Prescott into at the least one miscue on Monday. 

Betting on the NFL?

Mike Evans over 65.5 receiving yards (-115, BetMGM) 

For all the causes we love Brady’s passing yards prop, we’re throughout Evans to surpass his receiving complete, too, after he lastly broke out of his hunch in Week 17. 

It’s not like the chance wasn’t there — Evans has been focused at the least eight occasions in 10 of his final 13 begins, and he lastly turned that gaudy goal share right into a 10-catch, 207-yard effort in opposition to the Panthers in his remaining regular-season begin. Whereas that output was clearly an anomaly, it was nonetheless Evans’ seventh recreation with at the least 70 receiving yards in 15 begins this season. 

I don’t count on him to hit the 200-yard mark on Monday, however he’ll have his possibilities to shine in opposition to this depleted Dallas protection that allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to opposing extensive receivers (156.7 per recreation). Evans cooked the Cowboys for 71 yards in Week 1 and may have the ability to attain that complete — or larger — on this one.

About Muji Sakawari

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