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On the midway level within the NFL season, we’re staring down simply as a lot chaos as we had after the primary few weeks of the season.
Final week alone, the Payments misplaced outright to the division-rival Jets; the Titans took the Chiefs to additional time regardless of finishing 5 passes all sport, and the Patriots beat the Colts so badly that Indianapolis fired its coach and employed a substitute with zero teaching expertise on the faculty or skilled degree. How’s that for a wild week?
The Week 10 slate appears a bit extra “regular” at a look, with 11 dwelling favorites at BetMGM as of Monday. But when this season has taught us something, it’s to count on the sudden. Listed here are the chances for this week and the video games we’re focusing on early on:
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NFL Week 10 betting odds, level spreads (through BetMGM)
Falcons (-3) @ PanthersSeahawks @ Buccaneers (-2.5)Vikings @ Payments (-7.5)Lions @ Bears (-3)Broncos @ Titans (-3)Jaguars @ Chiefs (-9.5)Browns @ Dolphins (-4)Texans @ Giants (-6.5)Saints (-2.5) @ SteelersColts @ Raiders (-6)Cowboys (-5.5) @ PackersCardinals @ Rams (-3)Chargers @ 49ers (-7)Commanders @ Eagles (-10.5)
I used to be as skeptical as the subsequent man in regards to the Seahawks getting into the 12 months, however they’ve been routinely cashing towards public expectation all 12 months lengthy. I don’t see that altering this week.
Geno Smith has been sensible on the helm of the NFL’s fourth-ranked scoring offense (26.8 PPG), becoming a member of Tua Tagovailoa as the one quarterback with at the very least 15 touchdowns and 4 or fewer interceptions. He additionally ranks fourth in QBR (68.1) and sixth in passing yards (2,199) and yards per try (7.8), proving that he’s greater than only a dink-and-dunk passer in Seattle’s new-look offense.
The identical can’t be stated for this 12 months’s model of Tom Brady, who ranks twenty seventh in yards per try (6.4) and has thrown one or fewer landing passes in an unimaginable eight of his 9 begins this 12 months. These Buccaneers merely aren’t the title contenders we thought they’d be, particularly with myriad accidents on either side of the ball, so don’t be shocked if the ‘Hawks pull an outright upset in Munich.
Vikings +7.5 @ Payments
This line feels destined to decide on the important thing variety of 7, if not cross over it, after what we noticed from the Payments in final week’s loss to the Jets.
Kirk CousinsGetty Photographs
Sure, that is nonetheless possible the perfect crew within the NFL, however it’s one which has been weak to wild swings in play over the past three seasons throughout Josh Allen’s ascension to superstardom. He’s coming off arguably his two worst video games of the season and clearly wasn’t proper final week, when he threw two interceptions and completed with no landing for the primary time all 12 months.
He enters this week with a lingering elbow damage that threatens to utterly upend this line ought to it sideline him for Sunday’s contest. Even when it doesn’t, the Vikings deserve extra respect than this after a 7-1 begin to the season – which is quietly the second-best report within the league forward of even the Payments’ 6-2 mark.
Betting on the NFL?
Raiders -6 vs. Colts
There’s little doubt this opening unfold is inflated by the dysfunction surrounding the Colts, who fired head coach Frank Reich on Monday and changed him with former All-Professional middle Jeff Saturday. I’m betting it, anyway, and I wouldn’t be shocked if a flood of cash on the house favorites carries this line to 7 or greater.
Even with out Monday’s information, Indianapolis nonetheless enters this week ranked lifeless final in DVOA after one other lifeless exhibiting final week towards the Patriots – marking the Colts’ second loss by 20-plus factors and their fourth loss by at the very least seven factors of their final eight video games. Sophomore quarterback Sam Ehlinger (34.2 QBR) hasn’t been the reply to this point, and Jonathan Taylor’s lingering ankle damage leaves this offense with none solutions.
That was earlier than the crew fired its solely coach on the roster with any play-calling expertise, leaving Saturday to assemble a workers on brief discover behind a head coach with none expertise above the high-school degree. The Raiders have been common at finest this 12 months, however that’s definitively higher than the mess left in Indianapolis.